A ship that loads in Algeciras and discharges in Rotterdam now pays for its carbon twice, on two different meters, under two EU laws that did not exist for shipping before 2024. The first meter, the EU Emissions Trading System, charges per tonne of carbon dioxide the ship emits on the EEA-linked part of the voyage. The second, FuelEU Maritime, does not count tonnes at all; it measures the greenhouse-gas intensity of the energy the ship burned across the whole year and fines the ship if that intensity sits above a limit that tightens every five years. The two run on separate accounts, separate deadlines, and separate units, and an owner who plans for one and forgets the other can clear the ETS bill and still owe a FuelEU penalty on the same fuel. This article is the hub for the EU maritime carbon-pricing cluster: it sets out both measures, shows where each one bites, and routes down to the deep-dive articles and the live calculators that carry the arithmetic. The EU ETS allowance liability calculator prices the tonnes; the FuelEU penalty calculator prices the intensity gap.
The logic of the cluster is worth stating once, because the two measures answer different questions. The ETS asks how much carbon the ship released and makes it buy an allowance for each covered tonne. FuelEU asks how clean the energy was and fines the ship per unit of energy if the basket was dirtier than the year’s limit. One is a cap-and-trade quantity instrument inherited from the power and industry sectors; the other is a fuel-standard intensity instrument written for transport. Both sit on the same emissions data, the verified figures a ship already reports under the EU Monitoring, Reporting and Verification regulation, Regulation (EU) 2015/757, so the measurement plumbing is shared even though the obligations are not. The deep-dive articles take the two halves in turn: EU ETS for shipping and its maritime scope and phase-in for the allowance side, FuelEU Maritime explained and the FuelEU intensity formula for the energy side, and EU ETS and FuelEU double regulation for where they overlap.
The two measures at a glance
The fastest way to hold both in mind is to line up the design choices side by side. The ETS is a price on a quantity; FuelEU is a standard on a ratio. The ETS counts carbon emitted on board, tank-to-wake, because that is what the ship physically releases. FuelEU counts the full well-to-wake chain, so the upstream emissions from making and shipping the fuel count against a ship that burns it. That single difference, tank-to-wake versus well-to-wake, is why a fuel can help one balance and hurt the other.
| Feature | EU ETS (maritime) | FuelEU Maritime |
|---|---|---|
| Legal instrument | Directive (EU) 2023/959 amending 2003/87/EC | Regulation (EU) 2023/1805 |
| In force for shipping | 1 January 2024 | 1 January 2025 |
| Size threshold | 5,000 GT (offshore from 2027) | 5,000 GT |
| What it prices | Tonnes of CO2-equivalent emitted | Well-to-wake GHG intensity of energy used |
| Emissions boundary | Tank-to-wake (on-board combustion) | Well-to-wake (production plus combustion) |
| Unit of liability | One EUA per tonne CO2-eq | EUR per tonne VLSFO-equivalent of energy over limit |
| Geographic share | 100% intra-EEA and at berth, 50% one-leg-EEA | Same voyage geography as the ETS |
| Settlement deadline | Surrender allowances by 30 September | Penalty assessed on the verified annual report |
| Flexibility | Buy allowances on the EUA market | Pool, bank, or borrow a compliance balance |
The geographic scope is the one design choice the two measures share, and it matters more than it looks. Both apply 100% to emissions on voyages between two EEA ports and to emissions at berth in an EEA port, and 50% to emissions on voyages with one end in the EEA and the other outside it. A voyage from Singapore to Rotterdam counts half; a voyage from Hamburg to Rotterdam counts whole. That 50% rule on the long inbound and outbound legs is the lever the EU pulled to keep the measure inside its legal competence while still reaching the deep-sea trades. You can split a real voyage by leg in the EU ETS scope calculator.
EU ETS for shipping: the allowance side
The EU ETS is a cap-and-trade system that has priced carbon from power stations and heavy industry since 2005. Directive (EU) 2023/959, published in the Official Journal on 16 May 2023, added a maritime chapter to the master ETS text and pulled shipping under the same cap from 1 January 2024. The mechanism is simple to state: for every tonne of covered CO2-equivalent a ship emits, the company holding the ISM responsibility must surrender one EU Allowance (EUA) bought on the carbon market. There is no free allocation for shipping, unlike the partial free allocation that still cushions some industrial sectors, so every covered tonne is a cash cost.
Coverage starts at 5,000 GT for commercial cargo and passenger ships. The threshold is deliberate: it captures the bulk of the sector’s emissions while leaving small craft out, the same 5,000 GT line the IMO uses for its Data Collection System and that the EU MRV uses. Gas coverage widens on a schedule. In 2024 and 2025 the system priced CO2 only; from 1 January 2026 it adds methane and nitrous oxide, expressed in CO2-equivalent using the directive’s global-warming-potential weights, which matters for LNG-fueled ships whose methane slip now carries a price. Offshore service and construction vessels of 5,000 GT and above were held out until 1 January 2027, with a Commission review of the offshore phase-in built into Article 30k.
The surrender phase-in
The political compromise that got the directive through trilogue was a slow ramp on the surrender obligation, so owners did not face a full carbon bill in year one while the monitoring and market access were still bedding in. The ramp is fixed in Article 3ga and does not move.
| Reporting year | Share of covered emissions surrendered | First surrender due |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40% | 30 September 2025 |
| 2025 | 70% | 30 September 2026 |
| 2026 and onward | 100% | 30 September 2027 (for 2026), then yearly |
So a ship that emitted 10,000 covered tonnes in 2024 surrendered allowances for 4,000 of them by 30 September 2025; the same emissions profile in 2026 carries the full 10,000. The phase-in is on the surrender, not on the measurement: the ship reports 100% of covered emissions from day one, and only the share that must be backed by allowances ramps up. Companies hold a maritime operator holding account in the Union Registry, surrender by 30 September of the following year, and face a EUR 100 per tonne penalty under Article 16 for any shortfall, plus the standing obligation to surrender the missing allowances anyway. The penalty is not a buy-out; paying it does not discharge the underlying surrender. Size the bill with the EU ETS allowance liability calculator, and the cost against fuel burn with the combined MARPOL and EU ETS cost calculator.
The administering authority matters because the ETS for shipping is run company by company, not ship by ship. Each shipping company is assigned to one EU member state as its administering authority, which manages its account and enforces surrender across that company’s whole in-scope fleet. The company-level emissions report goes to that authority by 31 March each year, verified by an accredited verifier under Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2023/2917, the same verifier population that signs off the EU MRV emissions report. Where a ship is chartered, the directive lets the registered owner pass the ETS cost to the commercial operator who controls the fuel choice and the speed, a contractual allocation the BIMCO ETS clauses were drafted to handle.
The allowance market
The EUA is a traded instrument, and its price is the single biggest variable in the ETS bill. The allowance trades on the carbon market that also serves power and industry, so a maritime company is a price-taker in a market it does not dominate. Because there is no free allocation for shipping and the surrender share is climbing from 40% to 100% across 2024 to 2026, the sector’s allowance demand rises on two slopes at once: the phase-in slope and any growth in covered emissions. The market mechanics, from auctioning to the Market Stability Reserve that adjusts supply, sit in EUA market mechanics for shipping. The revenue the EU raises from auctioning maritime allowances partly funds the Innovation Fund, which co-finances clean-fuel and clean-technology projects, so a slice of the carbon cost cycles back into the decarbonization the measure is meant to drive.
The United Kingdom runs its own separate scheme. The UK ETS for shipping is a distinct cap-and-trade system with its own allowances and its own scope, and a ship trading between the EU and the UK can face both. The two are not yet linked, so a UK-EU voyage is not double-charged on the same tonne by design; each scheme claims its own geographic share. The UK ETS calculator prices that side.
FuelEU Maritime: the intensity side
FuelEU Maritime takes the opposite approach. Regulation (EU) 2023/1805 does not price tonnes; it sets a ceiling on the yearly average well-to-wake greenhouse-gas intensity of the energy a ship uses, measured in grams of CO2-equivalent per megajoule. Because it is a regulation, not a directive, it applies directly in all 27 member states plus Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway through the EEA, with no national transposition and no patchwork of slightly different national thresholds. It took effect on 1 January 2025, a year after the ETS, and applies to the same 5,000 GT and above ships on the same voyage geography.
The reference point is a single number: 91.16 gCO2e/MJ, the energy-weighted average well-to-wake intensity of the EU fleet’s fuel mix in 2020, which the Commission derived from EU MRV fuel-consumption data dominated by heavy fuel oil and very low sulfur fuel oil. The compliance limit each year is that reference cut by a fixed percentage that steps down on a schedule written into Article 4(2) of the regulation. The first step is a 2% cut, giving 89.34 gCO2e/MJ for 2025 through 2029, and the endpoint is an 80% cut by 2050.
| Period | Reduction vs 2020 reference | GHG-intensity limit (gCO2e/MJ) |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 to 2029 | 2% | 89.34 |
| 2030 to 2034 | 6% | 85.69 |
| 2035 to 2039 | 14.5% | 77.94 |
| 2040 to 2044 | 31% | 62.90 |
| 2045 to 2049 | 62% | 34.64 |
| 2050 onward | 80% | 18.23 |
The trajectory is back-loaded on purpose. The steps do not tighten in equal increments; the jump from 14.5% in 2035 to 31% in 2040 more than doubles the required cut in one move, and the 62% step in 2045 is where a fossil-anchored basket runs out of room. That shape is a bet that fuel supply and shipboard technology mature fastest in the 2030s, so the heavy lifting lands when e-fuels are assumed to be available at scale. For an owner ordering a ship today with a 25-year life, the binding number is not the easy 2025 limit; it is the 62% cut in mid-life, which is why newbuild fuel-flexibility decisions are made against the back of the curve. The full derivation, including the GWP100 weights and the Annex II default pathways, sits in the FuelEU intensity formula breakdown, and you can run a fuel basket through the FuelEU GHG-intensity calculator.
The early margin is thin but achievable. A 2025 ship burning pure VLSFO sits a fraction above the 89.34 limit and runs a small deficit; blending in roughly 4% to 6% of a sustainable biofuel by energy, with a well-to-wake intensity near 20 gCO2e/MJ, pulls the energy-weighted average below the limit and flips the balance positive. That single-digit blend is why the 2025 obligation has been called a soft start. The same arithmetic at the 2030 limit of 85.69 needs roughly double the blend, and the 2035 limit of 77.94 needs a basket that fossil bunkers can no longer anchor. The well-to-wake intensity article carries the per-fuel numbers, and the per-pathway figures behind them feed the well-to-wake blend calculator.
The penalty, pooling, banking, and borrowing
A ship that ends the year above its limit has a compliance deficit, the gap between its attained intensity and the limit, multiplied by the energy it used. The penalty is set in Article 23: EUR 2,400 per tonne of VLSFO-equivalent energy in deficit, indexed and scaled by how far over the ship sat. The penalty is not a flat per-tonne carbon price like the ETS EUR 100; it is keyed to the energy content and the size of the intensity gap, which is why the FuelEU bill can dwarf the ETS bill for a ship that is far off its trajectory. Price it with the FuelEU penalty calculator.
The regulation gives three flexibilities so a single ship’s deficit need not be paid in cash. A ship with a surplus, an attained intensity below its limit, can bank that surplus to the next year. A ship in deficit can borrow up to 2% of its limit from the next year, with a 1.1 multiplier on the borrowed amount as a cost. And ships can pool: a fleet, or ships across different companies, can combine their balances so a clean ship’s surplus offsets a dirty ship’s deficit, as long as the pool as a whole is compliant. The pooling rules, the verifier sign-off, and the order in which banking and borrowing apply sit in FuelEU compliance balance and pooling and FuelEU penalties, pooling, and multipliers; the FuelEU pooling calculator and the compliance balance calculator work the arithmetic.
The reward side is the multiplier on renewable fuels of non-biological origin (RFNBOs), the e-fuels made from renewable electricity. Through the end of 2033 the energy from an RFNBO counts double toward the compliance balance, so a few percent of e-ammonia in the basket can move a ship from deficit to surplus and get early adopters paid before the fuel is cheap. The reward window closes after 2033, after which RFNBO energy counts once. The mechanism, the eligibility test, and the sub-target that kicks in if RFNBO uptake stays low sit in FuelEU RFNBO multiplier, the reward mechanism, and the EU rules on RFNBO eligibility. Size the effect with the RFNBO multiplier calculator.
The OPS shore-power obligation
FuelEU also carries a hardware mandate that has nothing to do with fuel intensity directly. From 1 January 2030, container ships and passenger ships above 5,000 GT that stay at berth for more than two hours in a port on the trans-European transport (TEN-T) core or comprehensive network must connect to onshore power supply (OPS) and shut down their auxiliary engines, unless they run an accepted zero-emission technology instead. The point is the at-berth emissions a ship would otherwise make running generators for hotel load. The obligation is timed against the Alternative Fuels Infrastructure Regulation, which obliges those same ports to install the shore-side connection, so the demand mandate on the ship and the supply mandate on the port arrive together. The engineering of the connection, the high-voltage shore connection standards, and the at-berth emissions case sit in cold ironing and shore power, and the shore-power energy calculator and the FuelEU OPS calculator handle the numbers.
How the two measures interact
The cleanest way to see the interaction is to follow one tonne of fuel through both. Burn a tonne of fossil VLSFO and the ETS charges you for the roughly 3.114 tonnes of CO2 it releases on combustion, on the EEA-linked share, at the EUA price. The same tonne also enters the FuelEU annual average at its well-to-wake intensity, which includes the upstream emissions from extracting, refining, and shipping it, so it pushes the year’s intensity up toward or past the limit. Switch that tonne to an e-fuel and both meters respond, but not symmetrically. The ETS only counts on-board carbon, so a carbon-neutral e-fuel that still emits CO2 when burned can still draw an ETS charge unless the rules zero-rate it; FuelEU counts the full chain, so the same e-fuel scores its low well-to-wake intensity and helps the balance. The mismatch in boundaries is the heart of EU ETS and FuelEU double regulation.
The two also differ in who carries the cost and how it is settled. The ETS cost lands on the company holding the operator account and is paid by buying and surrendering allowances by 30 September; it is a market price the company cannot set. The FuelEU penalty lands on the company too but is assessed off the verified annual report, and the company can avoid the cash penalty through pooling, banking, or borrowing rather than buying anything on a market. So an integrated decarbonization plan has to optimize against both at once: a fuel switch that cuts the ETS allowance bill may or may not help the FuelEU balance, and a pooling arrangement that fixes FuelEU does nothing for the ETS surrender. The combined FuelEU penalty calculator and the EU MRV to ETS crosswalk help line up the two settlements off one set of verified data.
One practical consequence is double counting of the same emission for two different purposes, which the regulators accept by design rather than treat as an error. The same CO2 from a voyage is counted as a tonne under the ETS and folded into the intensity ratio under FuelEU; it is not charged twice on the same meter, because the meters measure different things, but the owner does pay twice, once for the quantity and once for the intensity. The Commission’s position, set out on its shipping emissions pages, is that the two instruments are complementary: the ETS is the price signal and FuelEU is the fuel-standard floor that the price signal alone would not deliver fast enough.
How the EU measures overlay the IMO regime
The EU measures do not stand alone; they sit on top of a global IMO framework that a ship trading to Europe must also meet. The IMO operates the carbon-intensity indicator (CII) and the EEXI on existing ships, the Data Collection System for fuel-oil reporting, and, once it enters force, the IMO Net-Zero Framework with its global fuel standard and its greenhouse-gas fuel intensity (GFI) metric. That framework is approved but not yet adopted: MEPC 83 approved the draft MARPOL Annex VI Chapter 5 amendments in April 2025, the extraordinary session MEPC/ES.2 adjourned adoption in October 2025 on a 57 to 49 vote, the reconvened session is set for around October 2026, and the earliest possible entry into force has moved to about 1 March 2028, not the 2027 date once expected. The IMO measures are worldwide and rate the whole ship; the EU measures are regional and bite only on the EEA-linked share of a voyage. A bulk carrier from Brazil to Rotterdam is CII-rated on its full annual operation worldwide, charged ETS on 50% of the inbound voyage, and folded into FuelEU on that same EEA-linked energy.
The metrics do not line up cleanly. The IMO GFI is a well-to-wake intensity metric, closer in spirit to FuelEU than to the ETS, but it uses the IMO’s own lifecycle defaults under the lifecycle guidelines, not the EU’s Annex II numbers, so a fuel can score one intensity in Brussels and a different one at the IMO. The reduction trajectories differ too: the GFI reduction trajectory to 2050 is set against the IMO’s own baseline and timeline, not the EU’s 91.16 reference. An owner planning a fuel transition has to clear the strictest of the three constraints in each year, which through the late 2020s and 2030s is usually FuelEU on intensity and the ETS on cash, with the IMO Net-Zero Framework rising to bind later. The comparison of the reporting systems sits in IMO DCS versus EU MRV.
The EU has built review clauses into both texts to revisit the regional measures once a comparable global price and fuel standard are in force. Directive (EU) 2023/959 and Regulation (EU) 2023/1805 both direct the Commission to assess the interaction with IMO measures and to consider adjustments if the IMO adopts a global mechanism of comparable ambition. That is the legal hook for eventually relaxing the regional measures if the IMO Net-Zero Framework delivers, though no such adjustment is in force, and an owner today must comply with the EU measures as written. The wider picture, of how the EU regional measures and the IMO global measures together steer fuel choice, sits in decarbonization and alternative fuels, the IMO global standard in the IMO Net-Zero Framework and GFI, and the fuel-by-fuel intensity numbers in well-to-wake fuel pathways.
The shared measurement spine: EU MRV
Both measures run on one set of numbers, the verified emissions a ship reports under the EU MRV regulation, Regulation (EU) 2015/757. MRV has obliged ships above 5,000 GT calling at EEA ports to monitor and report their CO2 emissions per voyage since 2018, through the EMSA-run THETIS-MRV platform. When the ETS arrived, the directive folded amendments into the MRV regulation so the verified emissions report became the legal basis for surrender liability, and from 2026 the MRV scope widens to methane and nitrous oxide to match the ETS gas coverage. The verifier who signs the MRV voyage-data report is accredited under the same delegated regulation that governs the ETS company report, so the audit trail is single even where the obligations split. Run the emissions side with the EU MRV emissions calculator and the link into the allowance count with the MRV-ETS crosswalk.
Getting the MRV figure right is the first compliance task, because both downstream bills inherit its errors. A misreported voyage geography that overstates the EEA-linked share inflates both the ETS surrender and the FuelEU energy in scope; an understated share invites a correction and a penalty. The monitoring plan, the fuel-consumption method, and the per-voyage allocation are the building blocks that the data-collection comparison sets against the parallel IMO system.
The MRV regulation lets a company pick from four methods to determine fuel consumption per voyage, and the choice is locked into the assessed monitoring plan rather than switched at will. Method A uses the bunker delivery notes (BDNs) and periodic stocktakes of fuel tanks; Method B reads bunker tank levels by monitoring on board; Method C meters the flow of fuel to the combustion processes; and Method D measures emissions directly with continuous flow meters and emission monitors on the stacks. Each method carries an uncertainty band the verifier checks, and a company that uses the BDN method must still reconcile its annual total against tank stocktakes so the reported figure is not just a sum of supplier paperwork.
The reporting calendar is fixed and the two measures hang off it. By 31 March each year the company submits its verified emissions report for the prior year through THETIS-MRV; that single verified figure then feeds the ETS surrender due 30 September and the FuelEU compliance assessment for the same year. The monitoring plan itself is assessed before the reporting year starts, and from 2024 it had to be amended to carry the ETS company assignment and from 2025 the FuelEU energy and intensity fields. A ship changing company mid-year splits its report at the change of responsibility, so the surrender liability follows the company that held the ISM document of compliance for each segment, not the calendar owner at year end. The EU MRV emissions calculator works the per-voyage emission from fuel and the MRV-ETS crosswalk turns the verified figure into the covered tonnes and the allowance count.
Cost stacking and the commercial response
For a working ship the practical question is the total annual bill across both measures and how to cut it. A mid-size container ship on EU-Asia rotation can run an eight-figure annual EU carbon cost once the ETS surrender hits 100% in 2026 and the FuelEU limit tightens, and the two bills respond to different levers. The ETS bill falls with less fuel burned and a lower EUA price; the FuelEU bill falls with a cleaner fuel basket regardless of volume. Slow steaming cuts both, because it cuts fuel burned (ETS) and, where it lets a smaller cleaner blend clear the limit, can ease FuelEU too; the link to carbon intensity sits in slow steaming and CII. A biofuel blend cuts FuelEU intensity but only cuts the ETS bill to the extent the biofuel’s on-board CO2 is zero-rated. The biofuels in shipping article and the per-fuel well-to-wake series carry the numbers that decide which lever pays.
The contractual response has moved fast. Charter parties now carry ETS clauses that allocate the allowance cost between owner and charterer, because the party that controls speed and fuel choice is usually the charterer while the operator account sits with the owner or manager. The BIMCO CII clauses and the emissions-surcharge mechanisms in bunker adjustment factors are the commercial tools that pass the regional carbon cost down the chain to the cargo. None of this removes the cost; it allocates it, and the allocation is now a negotiated term on every EEA-trading fixture.
A worked stack on one voyage
Take one laden voyage, Singapore to Rotterdam, on a 50,000 GT container ship that burns 1,800 tonnes of VLSFO over the passage. The voyage has one EEA end, so the 50% rule applies to both measures. On the ETS side, 1,800 tonnes of VLSFO emit about 1,800 x 3.114 = 5,605 tonnes of CO2 on combustion; half, 2,803 tonnes, is covered. In 2026, with the surrender share at 100%, the company surrenders 2,803 EUAs. At an EUA price near EUR 80 that is roughly EUR 224,000 for the inbound leg alone. Price your own leg split with the EU ETS scope calculator and the allowance count with the allowance liability calculator.
On the FuelEU side the same fuel enters the annual intensity average, not the per-voyage bill. The energy in scope is half the leg’s energy, and the deficit is the gap between the ship’s attained well-to-wake intensity and the 89.34 limit, times that energy. A pure-VLSFO ship sitting at roughly 91.6 gCO2e/MJ runs a deficit of about 2.3 gCO2e/MJ across its in-scope energy; at the Article 23 rate the penalty for a year of such voyages reaches six figures before any pooling. The point of the worked stack is that the two bills do not move together: switching 6% of the energy to a biofuel near 20 gCO2e/MJ can erase the FuelEU deficit while barely denting the ETS surrender, because the biofuel’s on-board CO2 is what the ETS counts and only its well-to-wake intensity is what FuelEU rewards. Run the intensity side with the FuelEU GHG-intensity calculator and the combined picture with the combined FuelEU penalty calculator.
The lesson owners drew in the first year is that the cheapest compliance path is rarely the same for both meters. A pooling arrangement can zero a FuelEU penalty for a fleet at no fuel change, but pooling does nothing for the ETS surrender, which is settled allowance by allowance. A speed cut trims the ETS bill in direct proportion to fuel saved, but only helps FuelEU if it lets a smaller clean blend clear the limit. The two levers are priced and settled apart, so a plan that optimizes one in isolation usually overpays on the other.
Enforcement, administering authority, and evasion
The ETS for shipping is enforced company by company, not ship by ship, and the choice of enforcer is fixed by a rule rather than negotiated. Article 3gf of the amended directive assigns each shipping company to one administering authority: for a company registered in a member state, that state; for a company registered outside the EU, the member state where its ships made the most port calls in the preceding monitoring years. The Commission publishes the list of companies and their assigned authorities, and that authority manages the operator holding account, checks the verified report, and enforces surrender across the whole in-scope fleet of that company. A company cannot pick a lenient member state; the call-frequency rule pins it.
Enforcement carries teeth beyond the EUR 100 per tonne shortfall penalty. A company that fails to surrender for two or more consecutive reporting periods can face an expulsion order: under Article 16(11a), the member states can refuse entry to ships under that company’s responsibility, and a ship flying the flag of the defaulting member state can be detained. The penalty is published with the company name, so the reputational cost sits alongside the cash. Size the surrender against fuel burn with the combined MARPOL and EU ETS cost calculator and read the surrender procedure in EU ETS surrender mechanics.
The texts also close the obvious dodge. A ship cannot duck the 50% one-leg rule by inserting a brief call at a non-EEA port just outside the EEA to break a long voyage into two short ones, each below the threshold of attention. The directive defines a “port of call” to exclude stops solely for refueling, obtaining supplies, crew changes, or sheltering, and the FuelEU regulation carries a matching anti-evasion provision aimed at neighboring transshipment hubs. The Commission lists “neighbouring container transshipment ports”, non-EEA ports within 300 nautical miles of an EEA port whose container transshipment share tops 65% of total container traffic, and a call at one of those does not count as a port of call for a container ship, so the whole stretch back to the true non-EEA origin stays charged. The first list, set by Implementing Regulation (EU) 2023/2297, names East Port Said in Egypt and Tanger Med in Morocco, the two hubs best placed to absorb re-routed EEA-bound boxes. The mechanism, and the leakage evidence behind it, sits in EU ETS maritime scope and phase-in.
Some ships and routes sit partly outside the scope by design. Member states can exempt scheduled passenger and ro-pax services to islands under 200,000 inhabitants and public-service-obligation routes from the ETS through to the end of 2030, and the outermost regions carry their own derogations; ice-class ships get an adjustment to their reported emissions to reflect the extra fuel of ice navigation. These carve-outs change the covered tonnes for a specific ship and are not captured by the general 5,000 GT and 50% rules, which is why a real obligation must be read off the ship’s own verified report rather than a rule of thumb.
Limitations
The figures and rules here track the texts of Directive (EU) 2023/959, Regulation (EU) 2023/1805, and Regulation (EU) 2015/757 as adopted, together with the Commission implementing and delegated acts in force. Several elements are still moving. The EUA market price is volatile and is the single largest variable in the ETS bill; nothing here forecasts it. The FuelEU penalty rate is indexed and the Commission can issue implementing acts that change calculation detail, default pathway values, and verification rules, so the worked margins above are illustrative of method, not fixed quotes for a given ship. The interaction with the IMO Net-Zero Framework depends on a global measure that is approved but not yet adopted: MEPC/ES.2 adjourned adoption in October 2025 on a 57 to 49 vote, the reconvened session is set for around October 2026, and the earliest possible entry into force is about 1 March 2028, so neither the framework’s implementing detail nor any EU review response is yet settled, and the overlay described here is the current design, not a final equilibrium. Member-state derogations (island ferries, outermost regions, public-service routes) and ice-class adjustments change the scope for specific ships and are not captured in the general scope rules. Anyone pricing a real obligation should work from the verified MRV report for the specific ship and year and from the current legal text, and treat the calculators linked here as method tools, not substitutes for the verified annual report.
See also
The allowance side: EU ETS for shipping, maritime scope and phase-in, surrender mechanics, allowance allocation, EUA market mechanics, the Union Registry account, the Innovation Fund, and the UK ETS for shipping.
The intensity side: FuelEU Maritime explained, the intensity formula breakdown, compliance balance and pooling, penalties, pooling, and multipliers, the reward mechanism, the RFNBO multiplier, EU RFNBO rules, and cold ironing and shore power.
The overlap and the global frame: EU ETS and FuelEU double regulation, EU MRV regulation, IMO DCS versus EU MRV, the IMO Net-Zero Framework and GFI, decarbonization and alternative fuels, and well-to-wake fuel pathways.
The calculators: EU ETS scope, phase-in, allowance liability, pool surrender, UK ETS, FuelEU GHG intensity, FuelEU penalty, FuelEU pooling, compliance balance, RFNBO multiplier, FuelEU OPS, shore power energy, EU MRV emissions, MRV-ETS crosswalk, combined MARPOL and EU ETS cost, and combined FuelEU penalty.